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Quantifying Illegal Activity: Estimating Dark Rates and Predicting Offenses

Description

Innosuisse supports our research "Quantifying Illegal Activity: Estimating Dark Rates and Predicting Offenses in Switzerland." In collaboration with LogObject AG and the University of Zurich (UZH), we will estimate the number of undetected cyber-attacks and predict high-risk areas for burglaries using real life data for Switzerland. To address the research question "How can we quantify undetected illegal activity?", we develop new statistical methods, implement machine learning algorithms, and apply graph-based models. In this partnership with LogObject and the UZH, we look forward to consolidating and transforming our findings into useful applications for Swiss police services. Our work aims to support law enforcement, by more accurately predicting burglaries and the dark rate of cyber-attacks, thereby enabling prevention in Switzerland.

Key Data

Deputy Projectlead

Project team

Raphael Arnold (Universität Zürich ), Prof. Damian Kozbur (Universität Zürich ), Eduardas Lazebnyj, Luca Persia

Project partners

LogObject AG; Universität Zürich

Project status

completed, 11/2022 - 11/2024

Funding partner

Innovationsprojekt / Projekt Nr. 102.134.1 IP-ICT

Project budget

1'006'337 CHF